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Poll: Elorza has 10-point lead on Cianci

By Dan McGowan, WPRI

With less than two weeks before Election Day, Democrat Jorge Elorza holds a commanding lead over independent Vincent A. “Buddy” Cianci Jr in the race for Providence mayor, according to a poll released Thursday by Brown University.

The telephone and cell phone survey of 500 likely voters in Providence shows Elorza on top at 48%, with Cianci in second at 38%. About 3% said they would vote for Republican Daniel Harrop, with 10% saying they were undecided.

The election is Nov. 4.

The poll was conducted Oct. 21-22 by Brown’s A. Alfred Taubman Center for Public Policy and American Institutions and John Hazen White Public Opinion Laboratory. The margin of error for the poll was 4.4%.

separate poll of voters statewide released by Brown Thursday showed state Treasurer Gina Raimondo leading the race for governor at 42%, with Republican Allan Fung at 31% and Moderate Robert Healey at 9%.

In the mayor’s race, Brown conducted two polls. The first was taken Oct 14-17 and showed Elorza up 48% to 37%; the second, taken five days later, gave Elorza a 10-point lead.

The Providence-only poll included 63% Democrats. 5% Republicans and 28% independents. About 24% of the respondents came from the East Side; 23% came from the 02908 zip code, which is most of the northwestern part of the city; and 22% came from the South Side. The rest of the voters came from downtown, Federal Hill, Charles, Wanskuck and Silver Lake,

“This poll confirms what our grassroots campaign has learned from thousands of residents, door to door in every neighborhood of our city,” Elorza spokesman David Ortiz said in a statement. “Voters want honest leadership for a new direction in Providence, and Jorge is their choice for mayor. Our campaign is gaining the kind of momentum that will be hard to stop heading into the final days of this important election.”

In a statement, Cianci said his internal polls have him ahead in the race, but he did not data.

“We have hundreds of volunteers out in the field and on the phones every day,” Cianci said. “I can feel the energy when I am out there campaigning. It doesn’t matter what Brown University says on October 23rd. The only thing that matters is that on November 4th the people of Providence will stand up and vote for the experienced leadership that will put an end to a decade of decline.”

Brown’s poll came a month after a WPRI 12/Providence Journal poll showed Cianci clinging to a slight lead at 38%, with Elorza close behind at 32% and Harrop a distant third at 6%. One in five voters – 21% – said they were still undecided.

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